Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bca95d6ab7defac6aa39afa1c6085819b9cd8bde681e34c418faed9cfc62efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 11,094$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.46 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 10,309$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.93 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team AION | 31c | 10,011$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.89 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 8,141$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.54 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team AION | 39c | 6,298$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.18 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 2,377$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.33 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team AION | 34c | 2,225$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed Team AION | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Team AION | 14c | 1,846$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team AION | 44c | 1,732$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.08 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team AION | 44c | 1,468$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.67 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Team AION | 4c | 1,231$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team AION | 48c | 1,218$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team AION | 44c | 1,180$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.69 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team AION | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Team AION | 51c | 1,104$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.72 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 1,099$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team AION | 40c | 1,092$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.67 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team AION | 33c | 1,024$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team AION | 29c | 1,005$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team AION | 33c | 986.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.54 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team AION | 34c | 961.63$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.68 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team AION | 45c | 916.85$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team AION | 39c | 776$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team AION | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team AION | 55c | 727.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team AION | 24c | 711.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team AION | 47c | 638.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team AION | 46c | 591.5$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team AION | 49c | 579.75$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team AION | 52c | 526.54$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team AION | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 499.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Team AION | 47c | 490$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team AION | 43c | 465$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 394.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 383.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 360.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team AION | 47c | 317$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team AION | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 298.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 269.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Team AION | 52c | 267.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team AION | 46c | 250.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team AION | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team AION | 48c | 219.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 217.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team AION | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team AION | 44c | 193.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 180.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 176.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team AION | 39c | 174.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 166.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team AION | 49c | 155.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team AION | 52c | 138.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team AION | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 126.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Team AION | 23c | 124.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team AION | 46c | 115.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Team AION | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION | 47c | 108.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Team AION | 47c | 108.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 95.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Team AION | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 83.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Team AION | 43c | 81.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Team AION | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 62.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 62.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team AION | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 52.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Team AION | 35c | 52.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team AION | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 46.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team AION | 49c | 44.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 41.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Team AION | 33c | 40.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team AION | 52c | 38.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team AION | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team AION | 49c | 31.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Team AION | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…f82cbacked Team AION | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Team AION | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 25.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group ATeam AION won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 WinnerTeam AION won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)Team AION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.