TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No73c26,464$19,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.082,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c20,184$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,966.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c18,788$14,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,439.211,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes16c6,821$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.037229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes17c6,039$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes31c5,473$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.6338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes19c5,320$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c4,470$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes29c3,598$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.4442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c3,456$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.0693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Yes17c2,478$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.467346.6%34 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes12c2,344$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6744435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No78c1,870$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.6515158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c1,453$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.673,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c1,430$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3631945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes21c1,397$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes10c1,100$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10914445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes17c873.59$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288528.2%24 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes22c786.36$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes16c766.94$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.713644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes39c760$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No77c613.05$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1717535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Yes16c606.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes17c590$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.39052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0766…77dcbacked Yes15c589.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes11c574.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.56126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes17c545.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7412241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes12c515.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.881,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes20c432.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.041,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No74c425.67$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c418.88$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9625954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No54c418.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9938960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes38c394.52$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2733443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c347.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes21c347.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0126534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Yes16c334.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7510228.4%29 W · 73 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes16c315.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c0…a779backed Yes31c315.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.699558.9%56 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes16c285.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9135619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd313…ca4abacked Yes17c282.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed No71c277$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.339653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7538…40f9backed Yes17c275.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-60.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No71c271.04$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes17c258.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65a…7ec4backed Yes19c258.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.452433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x199a…a068backed Yes13c258.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48a…68b9backed Yes17c244.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.56911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes47c240.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11345248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No73c234.12$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes29c216.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.87736.4%28 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4a…8a46backed Yes31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512448.4%60 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…463bbacked Yes16c209.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936e…4d49backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes16c199.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes15c195.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3141344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fa…5067backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bc…5c86backed Yes16c160$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes15c159.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a60…2889backed Yes16c154.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29625%24 W · 72 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No78c151$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0221958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes11c147.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5523743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011140.5%45 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207926.6%21 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes15c119.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes16c119.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.325031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d5…75e0backed Yes32c117.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5112633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206518.5%12 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b2…6cb5backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes11c112.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No80c106.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2992…0d26backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes31c100.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.135255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148328.9%24 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc357…363ebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167243.1%31 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No80c99.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2537950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Yes50c99.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57d…f322backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02dd…492bbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510236.3%37 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes13c92.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe67d…8180backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115612.5%7 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes17c88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5998439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes15c88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db8…412ebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes14c83.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8151458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes17c73.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5613623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes14c72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes16c71.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.495450%27 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf854…8e03backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157341.1%30 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36535.4%23 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.