South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8065732cb892ec60ae5077c3db15f4d3c7dbf20832f160f29b77535e00927f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 14,487$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 12,788$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,482.91 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 45c | 5,626$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.51 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 4,675$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.91 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 2,406$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 46c | 2,381$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 52c | 1,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.12 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 1,912$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.07 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 1,671$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 51c | 1,553$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.75 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 1,513$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 1,438$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 34c | 1,428$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.61 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…fe34backed Yes | 53c | 1,294$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 1,251$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,157$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 50c | 1,092$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…d1b6backed Yes | 44c | 1,060$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 68c | 1,053$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 51c | 968.13$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 36c | 914.78$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.34 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 891.88$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.02 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 30c | 872$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 810.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 800$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 33c | 777.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 745.61$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 727.09$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.16 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 715.44$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.22 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 42c | 699.94$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…7e93backed No | 59c | 678.85$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 41c | 668.06$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 50c | 587.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked No | 47c | 574.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…7082backed Yes | 61c | 527.81$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 52c | 518.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 37c | 490.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 33c | 451.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 44c | 443.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 39c | 427.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 51c | 390.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 53c | 372.62$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 34c | 371.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 49c | 368.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 43c | 351.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 49c | 346.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 59c | 313$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 47c | 290$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 52c | 288.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 53c | 278.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 268.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 64c | 252.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…586ebacked Yes | 51c | 247.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed Yes | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 45c | 220.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…78adbacked Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 50c | 210.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 193.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d0…5b25backed Yes | 50c | 184.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Yes | 53c | 184.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Yes | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…2481backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 44c | 181.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 29c | 168.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 164.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes | 52c | 162.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…5ff4backed Yes | 52c | 160.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 55c | 157.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 45c | 143.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 65c | 139$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 72c | 138.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 137.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked No | 43c | 135.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…a170backed Yes | 45c | 132.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.