South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d83820ed661db2301c366f7366f19c1afc2f21c8727a427c04a9404dda8189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 3,732$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,285$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,829$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 6c | 1,788$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 43c | 826.03$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 578.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 569.1$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 54c | 523.64$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 35c | 434.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 426.43$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 415.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 403.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 22c | 395.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 67c | 390.36$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 17c | 364.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 269.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 79c | 265.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 67c | 229.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 67c | 203$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 66c | 187.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 22c | 155.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 46c | 141.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 9c | 140.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 29c | 130.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed No | 23c | 126.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 114.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 108.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 33c | 104.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 56c | 103.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed Yes | 79c | 88.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 47c | 83.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 77c | 76.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 39c | 73.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 21c | 73.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 21c | 71.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 29c | 69.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked No | 68c | 67.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 55c | 63.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 63.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed No | 66c | 60.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 58.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 64c | 55.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 44c | 54.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed No | 69c | 54.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 29c | 52.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 32c | 51.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed No | 68c | 50.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked No | 56c | 47.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 37c | 46.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 46.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 62c | 43.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 37c | 40.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 44c | 38.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 39c | 37.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 56c | 31.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed No | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 66c | 28.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed No | 66c | 25.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 46c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…f3c8backed Yes | 64c | 21.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 69c | 21.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f39abacked Yes | 78c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed Yes | 65c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Yes | 67c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…96acbacked Yes | 64c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f3…75abbacked Yes | 66c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Yes | 77c | 13.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. CF América end in a draw?No won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.