South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2ea0de64d9715f6262df7b8abc9e7aa004389cedc7db938f92d8c36ff0f1e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 15c | 968.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 6c | 966.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 571.61$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 22c | 553.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 473.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 401.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 372.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 331.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 304.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 271.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 211.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 28c | 207.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Yes | 28c | 204$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 185.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 66c | 183.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed Yes | 27c | 146.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 145.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 13c | 141.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 76c | 130.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 26c | 119.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 19c | 96.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 74c | 83.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 82.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed No | 74c | 66.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 72c | 64.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 24c | 59.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 64c | 51.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 36c | 47.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 67c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 41.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 35c | 38.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked No | 73c | 37.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 72c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 72c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 32.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 75c | 31.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 69c | 22.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 69c | 22.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 67c | 20.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked No | 76c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Club León FC vs. CF América end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.