South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC vs. CF América end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf915eea7ed58c2ba4d1aefee704035771f7a1deb647b17ef91189ee1d7447d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 6,681$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.83 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 2,903$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.35 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 66c | 2,803$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.2 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 887.7$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 808.3$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 29c | 698.61$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 67c | 653.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 641.79$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 66c | 552.48$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 18c | 380.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 29c | 287.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 32c | 275.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 12c | 255.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 13c | 223.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 210.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 165.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 68c | 161.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 36c | 153.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 15c | 145.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 34c | 139.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 123.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 122.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 25c | 114.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 92.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked No | 72c | 81.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 77.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 70c | 72.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 30c | 70.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 68.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 74c | 67.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 25c | 62.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 61.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 45c | 60.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 60.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 63c | 58.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 43c | 53.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 53.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 42c | 48.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 48.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 39.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 39.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed No | 53c | 37.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed No | 75c | 33.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 33.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 45c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 31.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 72c | 30.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 75c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…0888backed No | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 66c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC vs. CF América end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.