TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,250,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,220,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,250,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c344,961$161,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,682.8922539.6%89 W · 136 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No55c271,429$148,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,347.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No54c186,667$100,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,651.0510450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c136,487$48,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,171.0464839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c98,304$59,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,006.414,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes45c85,304$38,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,739.699743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c75,149$46,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,738.941,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c57,000$29,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,357.781,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c55,442$30,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,221.282,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes45c55,247$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No57c52,169$29,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,185.362450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes46c42,709$19,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,646.082263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.818050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No53c36,999$19,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,274.695750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed Yes45c34,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No53c34,000$18,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,894.826051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No53c33,932$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,932.695853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No53c33,410$17,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,619.655749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes10c32,554$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.910948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes44c26,129$11,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,402.715940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x987c…cd13backed No53c23,140$12,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,876.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No59c21,941$12,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,103.8714445.8%66 W · 78 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Yes45c21,622$9,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,729.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes47c20,843$9,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,795.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No53c20,718$10,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,735.842642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes51c19,719$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No54c19,406$10,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,020.923655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No55c17,182$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,731.71275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No52c17,031$8,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,163.823240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No52c16,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No54c15,719$8,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,243.552060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes47c15,497$7,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,358.3235934.8%125 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No56c15,456$8,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.646743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes45c15,404$6,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,931.8912638.9%49 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes8c14,905$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No55c14,344$7,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,454.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No53c14,176$7,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,712.853548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c13,787$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,530.331,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes46c13,277$6,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,107.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes43c13,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…20b5backed Yes49c12,793$6,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,298.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b40…2f6abacked No54c12,720$6,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,851837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c12,370$6,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.1573549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No78c11,999$9,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.836740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c11,870$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.7540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e41…cbabbacked Yes44c11,395$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes47c11,351$5,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,343.0340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes46c10,712$4,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,927.573847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…3159backed Yes45c10,631$4,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,784560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes46c10,500$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8306240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes48c10,375$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9767936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No53c9,900$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,643.944850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes12c9,555$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.1512823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No78c9,227$7,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.963652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c9,088$5,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.313,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…ac9ebacked No53c9,027$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c8,907$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.7390543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes45c8,889$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No53c8,490$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022.086746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes46c8,478$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes28c7,989$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf12…afb8backed Yes32c7,778$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09a…4ca2backed Yes48c7,539$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.3813645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No54c7,315$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.811942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No55c7,292$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No53c6,778$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.8715959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes47c6,550$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes46c6,391$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No54c6,000$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.978160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Yes44c5,895$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c5,848$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024526.9%66 W · 179 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes47c5,677$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.382245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No55c5,665$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.4514250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No53c5,600$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.9511856.8%67 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.941643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c5,299$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.557653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x311e…b7a9backed Yes47c5,145$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes47c5,117$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.688948.3%43 W · 46 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No54c5,056$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3005052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3502166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c4,909$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe219…8cc8backed Yes47c4,839$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes47c4,587$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.984634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf310…76cbbacked No54c4,550$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes43c4,338$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.311631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No54c4,037$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.0612956.6%73 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c14…52c8backed Yes38c3,971$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes37c3,961$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.513658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1653…0348backed Yes45c3,767$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes51c3,747$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.872227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes46c3,693$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.