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La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No14c17,092$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.33,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No19c13,826$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.141050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c10,477$7,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,462.214445.8%66 W · 78 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cd04backed Yes29c7,489$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,317.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+165%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Yes62c4,830$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c2,934$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.141,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No71c2,870$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.9611255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c2,819$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03010367%69 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c1,457$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.94,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes79c1,265$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5210956%61 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes27c1,261$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c1,146$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.351,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c1,056$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.891,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No71c893.65$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.4914058.6%82 W · 58 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes80c686$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9447540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes63c677.25$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8660648%291 W · 315 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed No3c668.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes79c496.17$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.569957.6%57 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes40c366.07$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0893145.4%423 W · 508 L-30.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes55c364.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2214527.6%40 W · 105 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes77c299.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.956440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes29c275.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.864841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c272.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.780250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c265.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8574249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes49c237.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4613658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c214.79$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0665352.7%344 W · 309 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2920930.6%64 W · 145 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fad…3396backed Yes70c205.81$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No33c203.19$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No25c199.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c198$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7585850.3%432 W · 426 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a8…e30ebacked Yes57c192.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No31c170$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.527441.2%113 W · 161 L+15.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2524…9567backed Yes71c155.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…f609backed Yes71c152.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes25c144$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+112.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes49c142.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0419856.1%111 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes27c135$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.554852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e20…1524backed Yes27c133.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.391729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes77c133.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9423740.1%95 W · 142 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked No49c120.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes28c114.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.091752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c107.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4354338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c107.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1447749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No34c102.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9519440.2%78 W · 116 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed No30c83.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9654…fa6cbacked No72c83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc30…ad13backed Yes71c80.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2992…0d26backed Yes65c77.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes77c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7190543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes67c74.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Yes27c74.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+105.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0210632.1%34 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c60.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.438342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c58.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.822,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.562142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No71c52.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x461b…7360backed No36c52.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c187backed No73c47.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No70c47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65a…7ec4backed No45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes27c42.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes29c41.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.387548%36 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes27c39.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.952931%9 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…a130backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes29c35.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3810853.7%58 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No71c32.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2823455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b38…df69backed No73c31.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bc…7e01backed Yes53c28.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes79c28.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.965375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ad…922bbacked Yes69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Yes72c22.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f96backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed No72c15.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.