TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2524…9567

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+133%+$146.29
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinskibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+232.3%+$48.78
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$25.15
Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Sinja Krausbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roman Safiullinbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+363.2%+$72.63
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$73.82
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naefbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Marton Fucsovics: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pinobacked Maximo Zeitune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$27.94
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonaldbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+183%+$45.76
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Doumbia/Gonzalezbacked Doumbia/Gonzalez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$45.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$15.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.