Tennis · resolved market
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283721798f3917147c32aefd827863900f64ac624c73a01915a242db5aa356ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arklon Del Pinoof Maximo Zeitune, Arklon Del Pino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Arklon Del Pino | 42c | 800.45$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.54 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maximo Zeitune | 57c | 575.05$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Arklon Del Pino | 53c | 559.55$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.55 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Arklon Del Pino | 57c | 521.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.89 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Maximo Zeitune | 68c | 493.34$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Arklon Del Pino | 37c | 407.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Arklon Del Pino | 42c | 406.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Arklon Del Pino | 35c | 403.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 486 | 30.9%150 W · 336 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maximo Zeitune | 51c | 401.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Maximo Zeitune | 54c | 376.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arklon Del Pino | 41c | 357.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Maximo Zeitune | 59c | 341.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Maximo Zeitune | 58c | 323.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Maximo Zeitune | 68c | 294.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Maximo Zeitune | 43c | 242.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Arklon Del Pino | 28c | 202.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Maximo Zeitune | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Maximo Zeitune | 47c | 146.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Maximo Zeitune | 53c | 139.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Maximo Zeitune | 76c | 111.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Arklon Del Pino | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Maximo Zeitune | 51c | 104.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…b4c7backed Arklon Del Pino | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…ef4bbacked Arklon Del Pino | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Arklon Del Pino | 40c | 57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Arklon Del Pino | 50c | 44.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 164 | 67.1%110 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Arklon Del Pino | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Arklon Del Pino | 60c | 35.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Maximo Zeitune | 43c | 32.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…cb5bbacked Arklon Del Pino | 43c | 31.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…5bf4backed Maximo Zeitune | 68c | 30.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…9567backed Maximo Zeitune | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maximo Zeitune | 51c | 28.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Maximo Zeitune | 65c | 27.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Maximo Zeitune | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…6795backed Maximo Zeitune | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked Maximo Zeitune | 71c | 17.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.