TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1643…1b0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT8959.6%53 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pinobacked Maximo Zeitune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.7
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$11.29
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$10.79
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.72
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dimitris Azoidisbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF Cuiaba: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayevabacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$17.91
ITF Sumter: Bella Payne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalezbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$24.96
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymerbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.44
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellisbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$9.93
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gillbacked Ugo Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Laura Mair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$32.19
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$16.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+193.8%+$102.73
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$245.83
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$58.83
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$66.87
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$10.5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$107.84
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$530.32
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$135.23
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$87.03
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$40.43
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31%+$4.65
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66%+$13.2
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.94
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$31.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.05
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
World Championships: Norway vs. Sloveniabacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.