MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53091ed26b7cb91a0dc753498e34abb1f7e6e8039b0d27ad79bc68c64d6f535a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2618…39f9backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 1,461$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 35c | 1,125$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Kia Tigers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +393.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 868.97$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.82 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kia Tigers | 33c | 775.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 642.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.26 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 593.57$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.55 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 576.65$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.08 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 485.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 420.45$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 391.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 366.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 329.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 284.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.47 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 271$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 250.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…6ed7backed Kia Tigers | 77c | 247$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 245.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 239.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 211.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 209.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 187.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 186.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 177.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…1419backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 176.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 172.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 166$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 165.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 161.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Kia Tigers | 32c | 159.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 158.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 132.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kia Tigers | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 125.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 118.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 110.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 35c | 106.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 97.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 95.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 86.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 85.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf818…d23dbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 78.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…a02abacked Kia Tigers | 24c | 65.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 62.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 61.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 53.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kia Tigers | 71c | 50.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 47.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 44.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 42.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 31.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.