La Liga · resolved market
Marcus Rashford: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293462a19b231b1046d1ad644b2169d3c1dc9dd4712fd4fcd5da5919f26826eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 36c | 3,038$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…10a6backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 64c | 1,964$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 63c | 619.44$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 34c | 512.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c3…76d3backed No | 70c | 77.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed No | 70c | 71.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 52.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…677fbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 63c | 34.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…8ab8backed Yes | 37c | 31.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marcus Rashford: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Dani Olmo: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Fermín Lopez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ferran Torres: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Robert Lewandowski: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.