La Liga · resolved market
Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5843271627aa3efdf1e33ca777d2ffc6c48c9744ce71b4ff37cf83201b6ea5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d5…10a6backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 54c | 1,671$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7191…c3a7backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…d3f7backed Yes | 45c | 1,087$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 55c | 1,061$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 33c | 913.61$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 63c | 699.95$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 47c | 142.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 40c | 136.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 53c | 118.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed No | 70c | 71.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b143backed No | 70c | 57.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…6dd1backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 55c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Dani Olmo: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Fermín Lopez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Marcus Rashford: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Robert Lewandowski: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.