La Liga · resolved market
Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda844250cd8abf7c97959bcaf6cb92eb7e131cf7af1e13a2a8741d6e3ddd65de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 46c | 1,133$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 53c | 619$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 55c | 390.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 73c | 383.63$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 276.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 37c | 177.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 51c | 143.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed No | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…1e90backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f838backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 74c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Dani Olmo: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Fermín Lopez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ferran Torres: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Marcus Rashford: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.