TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e2c…5dc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+368.2%+$173.01
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.05
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$76.4
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.2
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.32
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$29.5
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$8.5
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.96
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$66.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$41.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$203.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$490.88
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81%+$111.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$108.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$14.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.98
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$43.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$67.32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$8
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$28.44
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$15.99
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31%+$21.3
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.39
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.13
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$76.77
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30%+$17.31
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$2.68
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$22.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.89
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.56
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$175.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.