TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No48c8,780$4,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.93,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes52c3,448$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No48c1,967$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.345635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.43825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c980.97$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+53.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes51c795.69$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c3…dd22backed Yes52c754.69$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes55c737.07$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c713.63$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No48c509.73$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6511246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44c…b049backed Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c430.63$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.042,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Yes52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes51c393.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9516543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No48c349.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes51c339.18$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.24942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.462040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes80c225.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1211839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes52c205.88$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes52c204.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8f…4449backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c172$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.561,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes52c154$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No47c141$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6811657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.63582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Yes53c131.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc83…ee1ebacked Yes53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked No49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.82733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed No48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Yes53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed No49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No49c102.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes51c99.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes51c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.535433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1619…7554backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Yes52c95.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes52c95.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Yes53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No48c84.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.792944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe16…b5dfbacked Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes51c75.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No44c72.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No41c68.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes53c66.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.382157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.477855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No49c59.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No41c57.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.650154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a1…20b5backed Yes52c55.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ece…e5cdbacked No49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55034%17 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No49c45.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.945850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No49c44.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6617153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No49c41.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.458853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x416e…dc27backed Yes53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Yes52c41.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x195d…2decbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No49c38.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4627437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+69.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed No50c38.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3709…e624backed Yes52c37.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.26956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No44c32.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.332040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No49c32.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.