Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac65d2670f845653f27c71476bfca155c9ef3e0ae25d313f89299aa0498c9383
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Shakhtar Donetskof Crystal Palace FC, FK Shakhtar Donetsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Crystal Palace FC | 28c | 12,448$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 72c | 6,897$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 3,515$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.86 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…d998backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 3,107$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 2,833$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.14 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Crystal Palace FC | 31c | 1,314$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 74c | 1,040$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 1,009$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.13 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 890.33$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.81 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 42c | 704.64$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.42 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 597.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Crystal Palace FC | 30c | 414.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 16c | 356.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.66 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Crystal Palace FC | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Crystal Palace FC | 32c | 299.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 71c | 255.35$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Crystal Palace FC | 40c | 239.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Crystal Palace FC | 31c | 226.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 28c | 138.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 70c | 123.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 110.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Crystal Palace FC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crystal Palace FC | 23c | 93.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 88.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 61c | 60.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 68c | 48.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Crystal Palace FC | 33c | 45.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Crystal Palace FC | 33c | 38.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…5562backed Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 36.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 69c | 33.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 70c | 32.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 32.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 65c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 75c | 22.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 65c | 17.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.