Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49185535952ddf0db95d2026d5786b26b569ee50c8b99946cb6fedc11f98c315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 12,246$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,244$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.58 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 3,116$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.1 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Over | 61c | 2,579$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 2,099$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.01 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 47c | 1,569$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed Over | 25c | 1,393$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 54c | 1,256$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.99 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 1,143$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.79 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 44c | 1,091$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 1,072$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.82 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 964.81$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 35c | 949.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 870.76$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.46 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 697.43$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 644.83$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.09 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Under | 58c | 590.72$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 584.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 46c | 561.11$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 537.53$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.32 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 38c | 526.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 39c | 456.89$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.67 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 5c | 427.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…6117backed Over | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 328.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 305$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 300.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 58c | 276.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 46c | 273.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Under | 35c | 260.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Under | 41c | 240.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Under | 41c | 210.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 56c | 208.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 24c | 199$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Under | 38c | 194.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb77…d45fbacked Over | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 161$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 33c | 157.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 65c | 138.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 71c | 136.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 26c | 135.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 29c | 133.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…860dbacked Under | 39c | 126.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 70c | 111.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed Over | 52c | 90.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 67c | 87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 48c | 80.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 58c | 71.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 71c | 69.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 38c | 66.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 65.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 62.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 37c | 59.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Under | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 62c | 55.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…65e7backed Under | 41c | 52.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 52.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 40c | 49.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Under | 27c | 48.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Under | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under | 41c | 47.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 57c | 46.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 56c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…5562backed Over | 40c | 42.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 58c | 41.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 69c | 41.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.