TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c12,246$6,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,266.573,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c3,244$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.582,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over30c3,116$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.112832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over61c2,579$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over29c2,099$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.016235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over47c1,569$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Over25c1,393$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over54c1,256$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9923461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over46c1,143$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7915562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over44c1,091$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c1,072$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.822,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c964.81$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under35c949.37$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+98.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c870.76$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c697.43$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1570639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c644.83$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0938047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Under58c590.72$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over48c584.69$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6217855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c561.11$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25810034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c537.53$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3217958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Under38c526.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9213067.7%88 W · 42 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Under39c512$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3211674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over39c456.89$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.676330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over5c427.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Over29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over73c328.77$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017647.7%84 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under65c305$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c300.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.291,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over58c276.42$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over46c273.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Under35c260.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.481181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under39c256$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1610768.2%73 W · 34 L+15.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under41c240.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.636100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under70c228.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5711246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Under41c210.07$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under56c208.53$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.319141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over24c199$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7612545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7599…4293backed Under38c194.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb77…d45fbacked Over30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c161$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.218165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over33c157.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.971723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over65c138.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.352352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.898369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under71c136.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.711681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Under74c135.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over26c135.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.132166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over29c133.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.064910.2%5 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…860dbacked Under39c126.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under70c111.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.565850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under72c101.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.393381.8%27 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over30c96.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe89e…7219backed Over52c90.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over67c87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6211839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over48c80.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.416136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c79.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.424049.2%118 W · 122 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over49c79.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over58c71.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.157152.1%37 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc26c…b7cabacked Under30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick26cpaid+304.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over71c69.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.444942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under38c66.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c65.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7157149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over74c62.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.051163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Under37c59.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.377677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Under27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under62c55.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.047656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e4…65e7backed Under41c52.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over48c52.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.042040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1544356.2%249 W · 194 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under40c49.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.853250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…eb2abacked Under27c48.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+146.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Under41c48.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under41c47.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under57c46.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.874269%29 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under56c45.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.26956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad9…5562backed Over40c42.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.021050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under58c41.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.521560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under69c41.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.848261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.