Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38505548d7f1212e788b789bae1225eacbfd158b7783d6476cab826f68c3bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aff…cd8dbacked Under | 49c | 10,778$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 9,315$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.13 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 6,683$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.58 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 4,677$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.16 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 47c | 4,649$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 4,204$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.77 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 47c | 4,170$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.84 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 3,776$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 49c | 3,733$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 3,676$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed Over | 80c | 3,554$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed Over | 48c | 3,110$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Under | 50c | 3,102$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Under | 48c | 3,094$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…c374backed Under | 49c | 3,015$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,889$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,640$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 49c | 2,539$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 2,164$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.92 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 51c | 1,720$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 79c | 1,421$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 981.53$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.08 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 939.37$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 52c | 920$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 902.43$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.1 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 899.94$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.02 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 896.7$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 816.76$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 52c | 803.86$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Under | 48c | 763.89$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 13c | 680.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 52c | 638.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 50c | 605.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 49c | 520.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 519.5$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 46c | 472.45$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 53c | 467$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 432.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 50c | 405.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 13c | 399.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d67…c1b3backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 365.61$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 340.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Under | 15c | 312.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 45c | 296.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Under | 49c | 294$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 42c | 235.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 76c | 211.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 205.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 52c | 203.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…20b5backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 49c | 197.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 190.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…860dbacked Under | 15c | 187.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 43c | 187.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 186.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 54c | 179.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 51c | 175.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 167.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 51c | 162.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 32c | 161.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 51c | 156.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 51c | 155.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Over | 49c | 153.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 55c | 116.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 52c | 115.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 45c | 111.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 110.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…90febacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…6597backed Under | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…58a9backed Under | 50c | 100.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.