Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x678b149b39273a4b2c55773ce067b951870600119077a078c408da60548adb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8713…4007backed Over | 77c | 2,589$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 1,921$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.97 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 1,679$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.1 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 1,379$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 73c | 1,364$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…e8d1backed Over | 75c | 1,092$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 27c | 1,081$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…bd8fbacked Under | 26c | 430.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 77c | 288$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 77c | 244.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Over | 70c | 239.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 25c | 203.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…f94dbacked Under | 29c | 203.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…de70backed Under | 29c | 174.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…f73abacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 127.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked Over | 74c | 121.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 25c | 115.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 25c | 96.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 23c | 87.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c78fbacked Over | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 13c | 78.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Over | 76c | 65.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 29c | 52.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…9f54backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…37b3backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 24c | 48.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…8eb3backed Over | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…179ebacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…f94bbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…b9eabacked Over | 75c | 35.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 79c | 26.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b8…0590backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…ef93backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…c94ebacked Over | 73c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…cee6backed Over | 75c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…a19cbacked Under | 58c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 72c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…9648backed Over | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…c186backed Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.