Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11420990b00af2e77a23e7295c2638c2fdf08ce4f850ac9075b3b384bee7d65a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 3,862$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.26 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 64c | 3,746$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 10c | 3,147$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.89 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 64c | 1,839$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 1,449$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.56 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Under | 45c | 752$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 61c | 717.21$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 62c | 536$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 35c | 424.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Under | 65c | 385$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 63c | 366.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 36c | 318.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over | 37c | 305.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 36c | 278.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 187.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Over | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Over | 41c | 122.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 45c | 107.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 57c | 100.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 87.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…b1e4backed Under | 54c | 86.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…3695backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 63c | 80.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Over | 37c | 68.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…64a4backed Over | 37c | 59.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…c3d6backed Over | 37c | 53.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 61c | 52.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…7fa5backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3987backed Over | 64c | 35.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…7651backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 52c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8578backed Under | 55c | 27.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 63c | 18.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 64c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.