Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb9a62bcdc601275cac4b77f2de6902e968d2ac00f02060ee9d8c4032acc101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 43c | 16,371$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 55c | 7,071$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.95 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…2a51backed Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Over | 59c | 1,110$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 14c | 1,033$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 7c | 1,031$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 788$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.63 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Under | 42c | 646.67$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 62c | 526$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 59c | 498.31$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 59c | 489.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.86 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 59c | 471.4$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Under | 44c | 454.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 56c | 449.66$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 60c | 399.07$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over | 59c | 376.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…45e5backed Over | 60c | 326.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 61c | 317.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 4c | 276.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 4cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…870cbacked Over | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 58c | 243.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 37c | 240.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 227.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 223.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…8e0bbacked Over | 59c | 169.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…22d7backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 41c | 150.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 59c | 146.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…a9bbbacked Over | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…ae8ebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 85.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a48ebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…3202backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Over | 37c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…118dbacked Over | 60c | 82.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 41c | 80.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 42c | 66.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 59c | 51.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…9fbcbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 48.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 74c | 40.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e47ebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…3ce7backed Over | 65c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 36c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…cee6backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…9d46backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…28a2backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…5b28backed Over | 60c | 17.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 60c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.