Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a22abcd66375f5c1042bb6a7db838cfd6d79526f6e1b66d7b191a29f6eecbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 2,632$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.69 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…735fbacked Over | 28c | 1,352$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 675.45$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 28c | 519.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…34d4backed Over | 29c | 508.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 72c | 492.64$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 490$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Over | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 29c | 345.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…ecb8backed Over | 29c | 202.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 181$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 72c | 178.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…6cedbacked Over | 29c | 128.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 29c | 102.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…1d22backed Over | 29c | 91.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Over | 31c | 81.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 31c | 74.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 64c | 72.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 50c | 70.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…447dbacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…e682backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…9f54backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Under | 75c | 46.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…86e7backed Over | 31c | 46.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a64…c7ccbacked Over | 50c | 45.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 69c | 39.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Over | 31c | 37.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 68c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…b9eabacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…522abacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 71c | 24.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…6eeabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…c8b0backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…178abacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.