TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes64c10,057$6,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.592556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c7,949$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.841,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes64c6,951$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.88363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No38c2,500$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.3212651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c2,387$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.753,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c2,379$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6148141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes64c1,828$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.131656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes63c1,588$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No19c1,575$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.55455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c1,561$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.581,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No36c1,108$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8414447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x078e…3ebdbacked Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes63c606.28$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.329043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…0dfebacked Yes63c543.19$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.351070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No36c540.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6827138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1236…4be3backed Yes64c537.5$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes63c499.95$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9810251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae2…b997backed Yes64c437.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c407$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.521,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2057…af78backed Yes64c406.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes79c374.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1464043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No38c352.19$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.84327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c347$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9248146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No36c328$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0849647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes62c318.23$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.745771.9%41 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c315.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7656951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1653…24b0backed Yes64c310.94$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.941464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No19c268.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5153140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…57afbacked Yes64c266.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.113452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c264.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0763645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c224.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4833047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde0…3b13backed Yes64c218.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c203.93$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3362452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No37c198.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.418448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c189.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8840744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes64c176.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.692286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+38.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes77c146.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0927554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed No37c128.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No36c125.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7826445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c119.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4942046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4846…ba76backed Yes64c110.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.941154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.381553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes63c99.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.995466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.633935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes64c84.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f4d…2651backed No37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No36c78.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.132347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes64c76.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No36c71.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8820251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed No24c66.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0524…35fabacked Yes64c60.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes64c54.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7411748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No37c53.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes80c52.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes63c49.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…b246backed Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9043…af14backed Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes61c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.534759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dad…7656backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No36c45.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No37c44.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5155058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes62c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9617852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e71…7913backed No37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…8c35backed No37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes64c38.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.986645.5%30 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No36c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.684528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes64c37.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No36c35.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.619150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes79c34.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2910956%61 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No33c32.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.894112.2%5 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed No37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No36c32.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.714057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7021…4be6backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd514…bcd5backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…88c6backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.258863.6%56 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…9e30backed Yes63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2c…5dc1backed Yes64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes63c29.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.197955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No36c29.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.676746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes79c25.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.265955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c9…e51bbacked Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4418140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes64c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4815854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d6…7fc6backed Yes64c17.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632020%4 W · 16 L-7.6wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-69.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5699…9637backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.