TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7021…4be6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40%+$8.01
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$10.14
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$28.19
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.39
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$140.43
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.09
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$110.55
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$47.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$6.34
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.44
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$30.97
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.