TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No36c13,486$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,632.611,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes76c7,017$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.9829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No24c4,510$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes76c3,650$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,77419846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c2,818$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.995,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No38c2,403$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.6814570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes63c1,859$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.9382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes53c1,514$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.1165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No24c1,414$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.451,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No26c1,348$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.538740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No24c986.84$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75010846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c833.77$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.982,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes68c735.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No24c541.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.241,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No26c432.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes75c402.24$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c375.28$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.891,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes69c317.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No24c298.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.863321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes76c293$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.121,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes41c288$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9218160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes55c281.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.393650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c280.94$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes52c253.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No24c252.24$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.711323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No24c243$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes76c226.55$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked Yes67c146.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Yes53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes76c138.53$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No17c125$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes53c122.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.732564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes44c119.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No24c114.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8326160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c109.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.841,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No31c102.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No24c99.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd453…458ebacked Yes75c98.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes55c90.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.986842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No26c89.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.718439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes47c84.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No26c84.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6315945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes31c77.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5749535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No41c73.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b0…af24backed Yes77c71.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No29c69.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.716842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1521…ae21backed No26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.692875%21 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes62c56.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9819955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes76c55.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…d24abacked Yes77c54.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes66c54.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.083046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Yes38c53.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes57c49.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes76c48.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0644959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63bb…2115backed No26c46.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes57c44.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9911553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No24c41.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7211858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes75c41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No32c40.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6416740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Yes74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No29c40.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5529053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes74c37.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.963,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Yes75c36.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes76c34.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1347758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Yes54c33.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.777162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yes63c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No34c32.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.136943.5%30 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Yes75c31.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Yes64c27.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.75865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d39…350dbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7021…4be6backed Yes78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes57c23.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6224654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes71c21.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Yes76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes67c19.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443941%16 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes75c19.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+78.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes77c19.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes69c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.422850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.