South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9726742361b3012aaad2eee7acf83753a38a29e4894bc5dad929aa85d890157a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 15c | 4,936$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 4,648$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.67 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 1,361$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 843.05$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 808.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 15c | 677.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.54 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 16c | 381.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 374.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 10c | 326.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 302.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 274.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Yes | 15c | 262.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 15c | 251.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 72c | 218.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed No | 10c | 187.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 181.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 16c | 168.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 157.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 28c | 157.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 65c | 148.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 16c | 125.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 13c | 116.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 73.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 28c | 70.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 59c | 62.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 18c | 55.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 44.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 40.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 65c | 35.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 33.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 51c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…700fbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 54c | 24.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 61c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 64c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 75c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.