Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4304c12f9383741c82139e45d60b9a98f4a3dd4a3e5c9dd9ace3b1011ae5b732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 72c | 12,000$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 8,411$6,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.67 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 24c | 3,746$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.74 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 2,713$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.35 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 31c | 2,070$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.78 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 28c | 2,018$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 28c | 1,955$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 1,141$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.77 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 72c | 1,043$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 929.74$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.62 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 763.89$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 72c | 763.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 29c | 624.3$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 71c | 538.03$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 28c | 449.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 446$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 446$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 28c | 399.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 22c | 364.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…aaf4backed Yes | 73c | 308.22$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 71c | 304.54$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 274.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 265$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 219.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 29c | 161.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 115.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed Yes | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 29c | 99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 28c | 91.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 28c | 90.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 72c | 83.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 76.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 71c | 67.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 29c | 62.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 69c | 57.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 71c | 46.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 72c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 70c | 37.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…b303backed Yes | 72c | 35.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 72c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 71c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7021…4be6backed Yes | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…a784backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…0b2ebacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 71c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…94a3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 79c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…ea0abacked Yes | 72c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 72c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.