TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$578,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$749,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes67c145,502$98,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,458.4911445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c32,659$13,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,630.556,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c30,096$9,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,782.6531944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c18,035$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.751,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No34c15,949$5,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.7718453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes66c15,775$10,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,363.445848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes66c14,833$9,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,043.267753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No34c14,371$4,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,886.284141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes47c14,046$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,511.0220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No32c11,937$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.8314450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No34c11,835$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.91942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.9920646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No33c9,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9707035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c8,954$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.662,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No34c8,944$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.822846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No73c8,301$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.612653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c8,033$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.2748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No33c7,650$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c7,301$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,636.376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No33c6,937$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.0635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0c…cab8backed No80c6,178$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No43c6,032$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.913125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No33c5,850$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c5,812$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.392,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No33c5,117$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.613842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c4,811$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.452,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes66c4,769$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.5315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…9309backed No35c4,437$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.07825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No45c4,299$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.553256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No56c4,047$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.154261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe912…5e43backed Yes66c3,992$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No33c3,491$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.3755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No34c3,014$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.8145936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No32c3,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes62c2,355$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.911752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes67c2,292$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.3410144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No36c2,245$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.377061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes70c2,153$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.231,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked No33c2,099$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.951741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No34c2,050$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68729458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed No33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No1c1,944$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.115313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No33c1,634$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.7684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf311…a179backed Yes67c1,608$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes62c1,586$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.852470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes66c1,520$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.756454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes65c1,503$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.24450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No33c1,474$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.126444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes27c1,392$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.273938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No34c1,382$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No32c1,272$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.981631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No33c1,245$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.521,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes24c1,199$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.9725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No33c1,120$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No36c1,089$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.768257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabd5…3c16backed No34c998.41$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No32c998.17$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.414065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No39c988.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.361735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No38c988.05$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes26c910.87$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.0232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d2…efb2backed Yes54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No35c860$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No34c814.25$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.842646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No33c782$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.066043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x767d…7631backed No34c747.19$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c731.86$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5196443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes67c730.03$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.911872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No34c706.18$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes28c683.43$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.077440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes46c664.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes65c653.82$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No33c599.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9714254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes66c593.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.863847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes67c585.19$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.114252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Yes67c585.19$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.11219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-83.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c583.96$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.074,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes56c564.43$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6514658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No73c549.52$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1511645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes66c519.48$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6253134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e52…d278backed Yes61c507.86$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No52c500.26$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3821250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa732…8db0backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked No35c499.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No33c497.04$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1622146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed No35c439.31$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No62c417.15$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes59c406.03$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Yes66c405$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.76160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1365743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab7e…9e98backed Yes66c391.84$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c7…e73fbacked Yes66c391.84$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes26c390$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.611533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No34c388.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.946966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.