TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa732…8db0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$953.84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,802.48
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,229.03
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.51
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$483
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$746.9
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$379.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.2
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$216
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.99
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.99
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$470
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$318
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177%+$639
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$604.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$256.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$590
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$185.67
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.