TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd604…cb5fbacked No65c15,565$10,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.485545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes39c14,920$5,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,848.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes37c8,082$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…b523backed Yes36c5,081$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Yes36c4,547$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No65c4,086$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.733148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc20…0522backed Yes35c3,970$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes36c3,242$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.891533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No64c2,807$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.491758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes36c2,441$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No64c2,255$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.348947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No62c2,005$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No63c1,924$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.651250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes34c1,696$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.491942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No66c1,665$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes35c1,634$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed No63c1,590$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.31957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No66c1,341$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.692580%20 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes38c1,166$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No68c1,060$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No65c1,019$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed No63c933.5$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6eb…36fdbacked No62c795.99$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…7aa2backed No64c791.11$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x851a…e06abacked Yes38c768.18$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes38c674.07$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a1…9b15backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes13c657.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.531910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes27c622.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No69c598.36$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c598$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.161,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No64c588.31$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes35c587.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2414744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa732…8db0backed Yes35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No66c463.35$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…1351backed Yes37c456.1$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes35c428.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0814443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes24c425$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.356046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No71c382.87$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No70c356$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No65c349.77$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes14c345.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No63c336.27$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No63c309.35$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Yes35c293.24$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.63520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No61c271.15$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c251.7$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.431,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Yes38c243.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.391675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes7c239$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes21c236.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No64c222.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No62c217.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes38c215.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0c…9029backed No66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes38c202.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee4…6832backed Yes41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe150…98a5backed Yes36c177.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes19c168.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes35c163$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.057417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76fd…af65backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d2…0b25backed Yes33c152.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No66c150.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.385100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes17c150.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94629.7%6 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-67.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…993cbacked Yes17c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5a…92bfbacked Yes36c149.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No62c139.08$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes9c136.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.311711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No65c136.51$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3942…ee94backed Yes36c133.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes8c130.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…6b3cbacked Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No79c117.38$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes12c115.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes36c114.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes10c114$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.786333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No64c112.32$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1232…e4abbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.73638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No62c104$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.383636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No76c103.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c12…3d74backed Yes15c98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed No65c98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4123…e97dbacked Yes36c91.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b5…a1f6backed Yes19c88.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7850%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e0…d60cbacked No65c84.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0661…a93fbacked Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189b…0401backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No67c73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860a…3323backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes36c70.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.472020%4 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-61.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes36c70.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.47728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No65c66.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.626245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed No76c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked No61c64.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.882055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.