Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d14d860873c9cfbfe7c934b66356c3d8da682871f783ad6869ff5124d55ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 17c | 737.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 20c | 510.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 17c | 278$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 25c | 250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 18c | 137.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 19c | 125.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 119.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 18c | 86.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 20c | 84.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…ab20backed Yes | 33c | 75.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 17c | 63.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 71c | 55.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 48.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?this page
- Will AEK Athens win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will AZ Alkmaar win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Yes won
- Will Fiorentina win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Mainz win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.