TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1179…ab20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18.49
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.69
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$9.42
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+133.6%+$16.38
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.48
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.41
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$141.45
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.37
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.73
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.84
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$16.18
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$12.51
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.85
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.6%+$12.53
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.4%+$8.88
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.8%+$20.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.33
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.98
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.36
Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.82
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.