Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bceba467c13865a7fd4889ddbe1834ddff9546890e8a2d280752511efd25802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 44c | 35,281$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,920.44 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Under | 44c | 21,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,759.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Over | 59c | 16,625$9,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,770.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 10,228$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 58c | 8,536$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 8,428$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 8,268$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.41 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 8,085$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.7 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 5,771$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.27 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 45c | 4,162$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 54c | 3,608$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.89 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 53c | 3,349$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Over | 23c | 2,227$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.92 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 42c | 1,861$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.79 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 57c | 1,739$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 28c | 1,724$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 59c | 1,702$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.8 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 42c | 1,695$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…c9e9backed Over | 57c | 1,627$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,608$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,604$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.88 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 42c | 1,184$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.72 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 1,142$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 42c | 920$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.6 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Over | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 841.1$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 57c | 736.16$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.81 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 20c | 720$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 51c | 682.88$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 46c | 641.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.59 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 58c | 599.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 41c | 575$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 58c | 550$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Under | 43c | 542.27$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 50c | 539.61$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 529$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…bfa1backed Under | 61c | 490.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 56c | 483.78$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 51c | 474.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 451.74$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 41c | 446.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 57c | 429.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 384.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 375.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Over | 34c | 370$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 56c | 319$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked Under | 75c | 294.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 61c | 258.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 56c | 256.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 57c | 244$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 235.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 231.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 57c | 189.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 42c | 185.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 173.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Under | 44c | 172.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 13c | 163.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 70c | 154.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 59c | 133.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 57c | 128.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 39c | 126.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…a772backed Over | 59c | 125.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 57c | 122.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…60b0backed Over | 60c | 112.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 52c | 105.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 42c | 103.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 72c | 101.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.