Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc9487cd9b5f18f7fbccd4b0a95eefb555e2445f4eab5ce95bb92bf0dae82cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,208 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 6,191$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…e53bbacked Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 62c | 536.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 62c | 535.47$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 63c | 476.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 308.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 303.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 41c | 293.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 283.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 51c | 181.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 167.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 64c | 122.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 122.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 62c | 102.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 37c | 87.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…0c6dbacked Yes | 65c | 77.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 61c | 70.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 63c | 55.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 38c | 48.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 38c | 47.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 63c | 45.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 39c | 39.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…ab20backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…0d4abacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…7910backed Yes | 62c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.