Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17256803c0a9b5c9f00b26883bfdfba841f53f23fa7bd809c8795c36245e47dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 61c | 86,286$52,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,634.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 41,857$21,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,504.49 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 33,852$13,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,638.35 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 27c | 10,077$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.79 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 39c | 8,706$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 3,858$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.17 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,344$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.02 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 27c | 1,216$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 23c | 854$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 30c | 706.27$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 37c | 459.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 419.15$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 43c | 401.69$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 326.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 32c | 261.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 28c | 249.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 16c | 158.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 27c | 118.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 35c | 114.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 42c | 73.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 46c | 72.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 71.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 63c | 68.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 42c | 67.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 64c | 63.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 29c | 61.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 48c | 57.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 35c | 50.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 26c | 46.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…be87backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 56c | 37.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1012…b940backed Under | 70c | 30.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…4bdbbacked Under | 78c | 26.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 78c | 21.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 58c | 20.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Under | 57c | 17.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 67c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 66c | 15.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.