TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,809 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over40c107,045$42,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,716.261850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c68,714$38,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,992.481,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c24,417$14,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,728.2737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under60c15,575$9,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,344.8313348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.7912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c4,936$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.071,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over58c3,422$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.891560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c3,048$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.3262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over52c1,732$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under42c1,602$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.531464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over48c1,048$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.011573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c870.17$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9717251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under43c704.87$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.351838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over57c524.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.744161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under43c460.47$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.558654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over40c380$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over56c306.98$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c304.57$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.424330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c299.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over56c268$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9210942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over58c265.13$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.365129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under64c235.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over55c217.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.872171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Under60c201.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c196.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.278247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc270…a462backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c140.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.86549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3111044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c128.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8724051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over58c126.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.75875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under44c119.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.832725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under58c112.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over55c109.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.463650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under43c107.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1427244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Under59c91.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e96…1e75backed Under60c90.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under43c88.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1411753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Under57c76.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under50c70.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9710964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under62c67.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.013554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under42c63.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under42c59.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c58.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.948434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c57.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c55.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over46c54.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.322070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over57c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf0…82b4backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Under33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c49.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over57c49.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.132065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over40c46.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.954266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under60c44.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.379262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c42.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over58c39.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c38.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.187766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under62c37.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under31c36.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-73.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over57c35.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under61c33.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4b…dcd8backed Under44c31.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under46c31.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.314452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.65050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Under61c29.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under45c26.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0918360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over52c26.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa506…f93bbacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.866159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Under63c25.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.