TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e8b…11cabacked Over66c16,982$11,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,820.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c11,525$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.554,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c5,915$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.7520857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c5,374$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.171,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under11c4,327$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.584971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over67c4,217$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.3760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c3,998$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.732,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Over66c3,300$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.981154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over76c3,168$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.825149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…931abacked Over66c2,974$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9256468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c2,434$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.3361657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under34c2,336$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.213743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c2,178$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.563,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under34c2,164$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.825253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over70c2,147$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.065050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under34c2,097$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.921942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.977667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c1,900$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.3583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under4c1,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under4c1,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under4c1,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722020%4 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+216.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under4c1,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+144.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over70c1,666$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.3113263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c1,488$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.981,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef5…8898backed Under36c1,346$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under32c1,056$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.681,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.820843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under34c1,030$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4709851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over66c999.58$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.866546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under34c972.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6435759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Under11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.662657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over54c780.06$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.345330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under23c758.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.581827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under37c728.15$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4211457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under34c706.12$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5917659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4313054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under34c691.51$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.832259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under11c688.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.734454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under4c680.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under34c674.27$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5119260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under11c671.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.126929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under13c645.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.471241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c635.82$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Under15c634.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over71c623.38$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.239564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under34c607.36$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.035662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c583.11$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c582.73$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under6c559.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.49611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under35c549.13$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under34c547.67$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0510464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under30c541.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c509.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Over62c509$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+50.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over59c508$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.283040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over79c501.67$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.765759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over64c500.83$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under14c500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under28c495.49$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.742626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.29336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over72c462.95$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.687954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under38c456.6$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4517856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over67c438.9$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over55c436.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cb5…bc24backed Over70c420.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under32c420$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over52c399.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over66c398.07$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.382075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.554847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over71c393.04$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.982065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over73c381.7$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under35c375$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under32c369.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d4…7a70backed Over48c343.12$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…e764backed Under12c331.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c331.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.541,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under38c329.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.138146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Under35c324.76$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c311.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.844250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under36c311.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2511266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb007…21f2backed Under44c308.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over67c308.08$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.264252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054a…d622backed Over70c304.51$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under35c288.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over71c284.95$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.649262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Over71c276.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.27966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over77c270.58$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7544424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over64c269.66$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.145671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over74c266.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.869071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under35c257.39$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3916456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.