TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Club Atlético de Madridof FC Barcelona, Club Atlético de Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,556 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc61d…3933backed FC Barcelona15c1,362$203 inLost-$203.118432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed FC Barcelona6c1,249$74 inLost-$74.266929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked FC Barcelona2c887.99$16 inLost-$15.5410335%36 W · 67 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FC Barcelona4c662.32$25 inLost-$24.513,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed FC Barcelona17c458.33$78 inLost-$77.925536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed FC Barcelona5c394.72$20 inLost-$19.7349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed FC Barcelona12c394.67$47 inLost-$47.367850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9095…89bcbacked FC Barcelona16c347.43$56 inLost-$55.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked FC Barcelona12c320.04$38 inLost-$37.5560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf01b…7922backed FC Barcelona14c203.23$28 inLost-$28.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Barcelona8c165.4$13 inLost-$12.941,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked FC Barcelona14c133.24$19 inLost-$18.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked FC Barcelona15c101.23$15 inLost-$15.184639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked FC Barcelona16c91.81$14 inLost-$14.365738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed FC Barcelona13c77$10 inLost-$10.0148934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.