La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dafa5e3f76683312ee2d99a7f02f6963ef8a756baff6cc06a74515696ae70da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 11c | 14,337$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.7 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 11,886$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.76 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 8,295$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.23 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 80c | 4,323$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 13c | 3,715$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.03 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 22c | 1,526$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 10c | 681.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…bbbbbacked Under | 17c | 581.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 11c | 543.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 11c | 526.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 75c | 385.48$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…b45abacked Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 13c | 189.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7549backed Under | 18c | 166.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 79c | 166.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 11c | 127.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 20c | 121.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 12c | 119.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 11c | 109.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 12c | 107.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 15c | 104.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 99.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 12c | 83.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Under | 19c | 75.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…3e95backed Under | 18c | 58.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 80c | 32.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.