TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Barcelonaof Club Atlético de Madrid, FC Barcelona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid13c5,653$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.32,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid10c4,470$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.333,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Club Atlético de Madrid13c718.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.316929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…c166backed Club Atlético de Madrid15c613.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid4c504.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid3c393.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Club Atlético de Madrid16c212.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Club Atlético de Madrid14c158.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.079244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Club Atlético de Madrid13c145.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.965040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Club Atlético de Madrid13c109.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Club Atlético de Madrid14c94.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2811149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid26c81.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.117030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Barcelona80c16.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.281,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.