TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over49c56,670$27,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,699.32065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over47c43,137$20,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,215.6210450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under53c30,485$16,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,368.662250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c11,917$6,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,584.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under51c10,169$5,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,976.321450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c9,511$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.713,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under51c8,278$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under42c6,979$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,047.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over45c6,092$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.131566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over45c5,988$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.453831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8410…d59cbacked Under51c4,120$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under52c3,890$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.733762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c3,700$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.5364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under68c3,689$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c3,666$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.48887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+91.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under44c3,303$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.966858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c3,023$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.641,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c2,999$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.0822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7909…e8febacked Over34c2,800$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under52c2,645$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.786746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over38c2,534$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under51c2,451$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c2,422$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.569052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c2,414$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.3523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c2,089$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under51c2,082$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.016746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Under52c2,013$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c1,977$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.8932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c1,892$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.017954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,740$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.181,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under52c1,706$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.4374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under51c1,623$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.454042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over46c1,489$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c1,455$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c1,385$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7822758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under53c1,375$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.342665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over49c1,163$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.011952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c1,072$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.775330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under52c1,064$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9116660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Under52c1,036$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.42733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under52c972.45$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c965.41$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0744424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Under52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c930.51$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9510450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c909.03$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0420360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Under53c861.22$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.77955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Under72c808.67$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.622755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under52c793.91$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0210168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over40c712.14$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.83033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb5…bc24backed Over49c633.08$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Under51c606.19$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Over48c605.44$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over44c599.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under51c593.19$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under52c582.72$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7112954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Under75c573.73$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4316745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c548.52$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3217541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc8…4676backed Under76c519.72$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under75c502.1$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.084971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under38c496.6$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Over48c492.47$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.391822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over48c489.59$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over12c473.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under63c467.77$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.492462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under52c466.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under77c465.24$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.051741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over53c464.84$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0511651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over48c461.51$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.533565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c444.57$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7617659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.82263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.82268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c409.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over49c406.22$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.915865.5%38 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c390.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.451,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over42c385.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0110820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c383.21$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under53c375.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.716660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c375$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8654…6d92backed Under52c373.07$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.34755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…4c49backed Over23c357.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb3…f4f6backed Under56c349.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over40c347.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.736929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under60c339.28$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.714146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under54c310.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.796373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.323455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Over48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under52c302.1$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under60c298.89$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.375172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over65c298.6$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.093342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.025461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.