TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d9…651bbacked Over29c3,852$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.5260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c3,720$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.463,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under63c3,271$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.34875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c2,656$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.234,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under71c854.59$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.514146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over16c823.39$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.51,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over29c799.84$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.266929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over35c728.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.145330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under65c609.53$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.344465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over21c599.97$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9990%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under71c549.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.52665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over37c509.97$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.693342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Under79c508.79$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.852070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Over28c382.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.517128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over41c353.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.622748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…cd92backed Under72c347.3$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over13c337.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4944324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over38c304.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5410418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Under66c298.78$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under72c292.23$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.575959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over29c275.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355b…18ecbacked Under79c262.47$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over28c254.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.171,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under66c222.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.715446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Under72c204.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc868…1eb9backed Under72c201.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over28c199.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.911,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under72c196.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.065366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under77c192.32$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.971861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47dc…298bbacked Over27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under80c172.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Over28c170.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.84825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.873565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Over29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7571…3bcbbacked Under62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.893100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Over13c151.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under73c151.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c146.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5543439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Over29c144.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Under73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Under76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.674639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under76c108.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3716962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Under71c107.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7093…c7f9backed Under65c97.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb3…f4f6backed Under73c81.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over29c79.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.163964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over29c77.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.49244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd964…499ebacked Under64c72.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Under75c68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1714574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under76c67.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over17c65.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1238748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under73c63.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c62.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c61.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0359555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under78c59.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over26c53.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Over29c49.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361788.2%15 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+63.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe577…6c42backed Under76c49.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Under63c48.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.093053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6c…a815backed Over29c46.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under73c39.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.637170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf1a…7e9bbacked Under64c32.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.013164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed Under74c28.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.474676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb446…2daabacked Under63c27.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under72c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.599571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6522157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf0…22cbbacked Under72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under75c26.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under64c24.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8113760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under71c21.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1210068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under72c20.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.743467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked Under71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1217…690abacked Under80c19.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.953100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under72c19.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.517263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under64c19.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0311959.7%71 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under75c18.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b2…e004backed Under80c18.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under71c17.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.064858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Under72c16.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.591747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under75c13.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.