TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47dc…298b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Maria Timofeevabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$35.79
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.46
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Menorca: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Dali Blanchbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$171.61
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Credit One Charleston Open: Renata Zarazua vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
San Luis Potosi: Tibo Colson vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$5.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$96.95
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Scunthorpe United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)backed FC Mito Holly Hock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick62cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$30.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$94.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$48.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Genoa CFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.