Cricket · resolved market
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4361bd599544980850734313297d75c0a59cf4a5c558f5ef317a3fde76b1be28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof Norway, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc523…0db2backed France | 41c | 9,999$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…5550backed Norway | 52c | 9,819$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe52…4ae7backed Norway | 59c | 9,753$5,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…e638backed France | 48c | 9,689$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Norway | 19c | 1,274$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.53 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed France | 35c | 1,052$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.48 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked France | 25c | 967.32$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.33 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Norway | 61c | 946.87$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.48 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked France | 30c | 700.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.81 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Norway | 6c | 673.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed France | 36c | 579.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.24 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Norway | 63c | 577.97$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked France | 36c | 540.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norway | 68c | 460.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked France | 56c | 455.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…060abacked France | 46c | 446.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Norway | 59c | 413.48$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Norway | 11c | 411.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Norway | 68c | 383.73$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed France | 33c | 372.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed France | 20c | 368.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway | 35c | 349.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Norway | 50c | 241.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked France | 31c | 228.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Norway | 60c | 201.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Norway | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed France | 35c | 199.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked France | 35c | 183.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed France | 35c | 160.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed France | 58c | 156.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Norway | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Norway | 24c | 151.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Norway | 63c | 136.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked France | 37c | 134.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed France | 37c | 132.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed France | 25c | 123.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed France | 45c | 122.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed France | 34c | 115$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 211 | 36%76 W · 135 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…824cbacked Norway | 15c | 100.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed France | 40c | 99.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Norway | 69c | 98.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Norway | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Norway | 49c | 83.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked Norway | 72c | 80.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed France | 40c | 74.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Norway | 71c | 67.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Norway | 62c | 67.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Norway | 57c | 59.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked France | 25c | 52.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Norway | 61c | 51.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Norway | 62c | 47.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Norway | 74c | 47.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norway | 71c | 43.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Norway | 61c | 32.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Norway | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…9335backed Norway | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Norway | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Norway | 71c | 27.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Norway | 58c | 27.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed Norway | 60c | 26.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Norway | 77c | 25.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Norway | 55c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Norway | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Norway | 63c | 22.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Norway | 63c | 20.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Norway | 66c | 20.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Norway | 64c | 18.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.