TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1bea…c1f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Tyler Zinkbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Monza: Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$10.33
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Monza: Norbert Gombos vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Barletta: Francesco Forti vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tena Lukasbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Naples: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.29
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31%+$15.36
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.46
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.53
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.63
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.05
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$10.01
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.91
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$5.68
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.61
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.87
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.66
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$7.16
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$78.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mir Gaming vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31%+$6.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs Francebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.