TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,315 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes40c39,986$15,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,992.711850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed No53c9,892$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.144339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c8,444$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.9937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.984339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c2,594$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.141,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e54…92e0backed No60c2,250$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c2,023$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.588,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcee…794ebacked No28c1,901$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+251.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No60c1,800$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7293171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes38c1,630$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.435046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No60c1,275$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.812757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c1,127$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.253,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No31c1,110$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.017540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c817.3$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.832,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked No61c600$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2371643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes52c570.4$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.445,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No60c546.57$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6339853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c457.82$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.311,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No60c455.46$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c438$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No28c435.53$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0212828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c384.27$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.431,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025d…c171backed No61c322.95$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes41c296.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12112541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes28c274.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed No31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Yes36c244.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c233.92$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.071,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c229.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.921,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No32c179.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.367420.3%15 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10528443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed No59c149.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked No59c149.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes39c142$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No76c121.24$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No45c117.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No32c102.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes40c102.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.826350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes61c100.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.219056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…13b1backed No60c100.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No60c87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Yes40c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No27c79.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8824665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Yes43c78.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes41c77.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No53c72.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4318338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked No25c72.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes29c66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1211334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Yes41c65.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.021338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Yes39c64.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Yes70c63.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No60c62.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No62c59.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.