South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71bf344d72d97b56fa075c26d44173d036617137e597da465d5b27a7df953112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.86 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 1,627$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.81 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 1,260$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,254$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.78 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 63c | 952.18$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 839.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.58 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 64c | 622.65$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 552.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.95 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 550.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed No | 64c | 518.2$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Yes | 37c | 471.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 36c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 350.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 342.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 64c | 321.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 313.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 310.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 37c | 308.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 37c | 268.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed Yes | 38c | 263.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 252.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 240.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed No | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 212.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 64c | 202$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 198.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 190.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 183.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 167.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 64c | 167.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 67c | 148$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 64c | 147.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed Yes | 76c | 146.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 46c | 137.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 23c | 126$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 65c | 125.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 119.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 112.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yes | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 28c | 105.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 63c | 100.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 96.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 93.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 71.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 62c | 68.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 37c | 62.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 44c | 62.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe377…fcc1backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 37c | 54.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 40.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 77c | 37.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 63c | 36.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed No | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 31.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…db95backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Yes | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 23.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 23.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb321…6781backed No | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 70c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 63c | 16.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…fc97backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-25?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.