TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,042 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c8,537$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.538,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No75c6,627$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.285046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No75c5,220$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.8637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes15c4,488$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.657540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes25c4,250$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.584339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c3,093$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.761,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked No77c1,949$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No75c1,778$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.52055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47a5…6834backed Yes5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5760%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes25c1,143$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7514540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes24c1,057$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0512828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes27c888$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6211334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c839.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes27c744.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa010…112ebacked Yes25c680$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c554.84$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.693,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…13b1backed Yes9c542.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes4c521.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66e…a89cbacked Yes24c508.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c480.36$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.291,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes8c430.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8330847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Yes24c417.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c411.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5739853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes26c339.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes24c288.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.331,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No74c283.78$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c263$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7523354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes16c243.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.962,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes9c237.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes25c235.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.975052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes11c225.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.791637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes9c222.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+82.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No76c198.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.689454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes24c194.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2713814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes18c190.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.311,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes8c187$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Yes25c180.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Yes24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked No76c164.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes24c133.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes24c129.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.036857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc951…51a8backed Yes24c126.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes24c125.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0390…db95backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes24c122$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.281,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes12c121.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2613739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Yes14c114.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b3…38b4backed Yes25c109$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Yes25c108.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…a033backed Yes18c104.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes27c103$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.811030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes24c95.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.011,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes15c94.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c92.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed No76c92.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Yes23c90.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8619…c45ebacked Yes26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No75c81.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.358763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes26c76.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9827053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes23c75.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4420953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb7…2c57backed No75c66.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes27c61.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.422934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes23c61.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32aa…0c01backed Yes25c60.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed No76c59.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes27c59.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.959936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d979backed No76c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes25c56.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0511664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed No73c56.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.754259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Yes26c54.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.194228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed No75c53.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e3…43e4backed No76c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes24c51.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.474353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Yes25c44.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Yes27c42.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Yes25c42.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2257…eb1bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No74c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed No76c36.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb321…6781backed No75c36.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5320…aaf7backed No76c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c32.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed No76c30.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d00…9e8dbacked No76c26.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89a…467ebacked No75c25.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e91…6c3abacked No76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.